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The Collapse of Silicon Valley Bank

Why Silicon Valley Bank Failed

Explain why Silicon Valley Bank was exposed to a run, what the official reviews blamed, and what followed its failure.

Before you start

What you'll be able to answer

  1. Why was SVB weak when the run came?
  2. Why was the run so fast, and what did the official reviews blame?
  3. What happened after SVB failed?

Where this sits

The Collapse of Silicon Valley Bank ยท this module is lit

  1. 16 Mar 2022The Federal Reserve, the US central bank, announces a rise of a quarter of a percentage point in its target range, the band it sets for the rate banks charge each other for overnight loans
  2. 8 Mar 2023Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) announces that it has sold some of its bonds and plans to raise money by selling new shares
  3. 10 Mar 2023California's banking regulator closes SVB and appoints the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), the US deposit insurer, to run what is left
  4. 12 Mar 2023The US Treasury, the Federal Reserve and the FDIC announce emergency measures; Signature Bank in New York is closed
  5. 13 Mar 2023SVB's British bank is sold to HSBC
  6. 26 Mar 2023First Citizens Bank agrees to take over SVB's deposits and loans from the FDIC
  7. 28 Apr 2023The Federal Reserve publishes its review of its supervision of SVB
  8. 1 May 2023First Republic Bank in San Francisco is closed and sold to JPMorgan Chase
  9. 11 Mar 2024The Federal Reserve's emergency lending programme for banks, opened in March 2023, stops making new loans

SVB put much of its deposits into long-dated bonds

At the end of 2022, 55 per cent of SVB's assets, the loans and investments a bank owns, were securities, bonds and similar investments, and 35 per cent loans. At other US banks with over $100 billion of assets, leaving out the very largest, the shares were 25 and 58 per cent, the Federal Reserve (the Fed), the US central bank, found. Most of its bonds were held to maturity, kept until repaid. Most of those held to maturity were long-dated: government-backed home-loan bonds due in 10 years or more.

Most of SVB's deposits were above the insurance limit

Deposit insurance from the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), the US deposit insurer, covers up to $250,000 per depositor at each bank. About 94 per cent of SVB's deposits were above that limit at the end of 2022, against 41 per cent at the same group of peer banks, the Fed found in its review of SVB's supervision. Many deposits belonged to start-ups that had no sales income yet and kept large cash balances to pay staff and bills, Michael Barr, the Fed's Vice Chair for Supervision, told the Senate. They were linked through the same venture capital firms, investors who buy stakes in new businesses.

In 2022, as rates rose and technology firms' activity slowed, deposits began to flow out, the review says. From July 2022 the bank repeatedly failed its own liquidity stress tests, checks of whether it could raise enough cash under strain.

Predict first

As interest rates rose in 2022, the market price of SVB's long-dated bonds fell. How much of the fall in the bonds it held to maturity do you think showed in its capital, the shareholders' money that absorbs losses?

US interest rates rose fast from March 2022

Central banks raised interest rates in 2022 to curb high inflation, the Basel Committee, the international committee of bank supervisors, notes, and long-dated bonds lost much of their value. The chart shows the top of the Fed's target range, the band it sets for the rate banks charge each other for overnight loans: 0.25 per cent until 16 March 2022, and 4.75 per cent from 2 February 2023.

SVB kept its held-to-maturity bonds on its books at what it had paid for them. A fall in their price showed only as an unrealised loss, a loss on paper that becomes real if the bonds are sold. At the end of 2022 those losses came to over $15 billion, 89 per cent of the bank's core capital, the shareholders' money that absorbs losses first, according to a preliminary review by the Government Accountability Office (GAO), Congress's audit office.

The top of the Fed's target range for interest rates, 2021 to March 2023Per cent, daily
012345202120222023SVB closed

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Funds Target Range, Upper Limit (FRED DFEDTARU). Public domain, citation requested.