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Beyond A-level · 14 of 14

Public choice and the median voter

Explain why majority voting can produce outcomes few people want

Predict first

Why do rival parties' manifestos so often end up sounding alike?

Parties chasing votes are pulled towards the voter in the middle

At A-level, government failure is a list of ways an intervention can misallocate resources. Public choice asks why: it applies the economist's assumption of self-interest to voters and politicians. Line voters up from left to right on a single issue, such as how much to spend on public services, and suppose each votes for the party nearer their own view. A party that moves a step towards the centre keeps its own wing and wins voters from the middle. With two parties, both are pulled towards the median voter, the one with as many voters to the left as to the right.

Two parties competing for voters on one issueVertical axis: Number of voters. Horizontal axis: Policy position, left to right. Voters: a horizontal curve. Vertical line: Median voter.Median voterVotersABAB
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Far apartParty A stands on the left and party B on the right. Each wins the voters nearer to it, and the voters between them split at the halfway point.

Voters are spread from left to right with most in the middle. Each party gains by moving towards the median voter, so the two end up close together.